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Stocks Slides As Trade Hopium Turns Into Hangover; Curve Inversion Accelerates

So much for the _trade truce_rally.
One day after it emerged that nobody in the Trump administration has any clue about what was actually agreed upon during Saturday's historic "dinner date" between Trump and Xi, Monday's market "sugar rush" hopium fizzled and as we previewed yesterday, has turned into a vicious hangover, with US equity futures dropping and European shares tracking declines in Asia despite a modest recovery from Chinese stocks into the close as investors curbed their enthusiasm over any breakthrough in the trade war.

S&P 500 futures indicated U.S. shares would give up much of their Monday’s gains at the New York open, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index slipped led by the same automakers which surged yesterday on a Trump tweet about China dropping car tariffs, which has since been largely disproven.

Markets slumped across the globe, with world stocks knocked off a three-week high as a result of dashed hopes of a swift resolution in the US-China trade war after media appearances from Trump administration officials shed little light on the specifics of any Sino-American trade agreement, while growing fears the U.S economy could be headed for recession sooner than expected weighed on the dollar.
As Bloomberg notes, the optimism that drove Monday's gains quickly dissipated as investors scrambled to figure out exactly what, if anything, was agreed between the U.S. and China on trade at the weekend. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and President Donald Trump’s top economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, dialed back expectations and added qualifiers when asked about the outcome of talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. China’s government did not help the mood as it was unable to formulate its response to the trade summit - three days after its conclusion - as senior officials are still out of the country with President Xi Jinping. China has said nothing about the commitment to remove car tariffs flagged by the U.S., nor did its statement mention the 90-day timeline for talks the Americans have specified.
Following declines on Asian bourses, where Japan’s Nikkei stock index closed 2.4% lower, even as shares in Shanghai and Hong Kong fared better, fluctuating before ending higher as the yuan climbed, the mood was somber in Europe with the wider blue chip index slipping 0.3 percent. Frankfurt’s DAX and Paris’ CAC 40 fell 0.6 percent while MSCI’s index of world stocks declined 0.1 percent.
"The initial relief rally was never going to last. Investors need more detail now in order for that risk on sentiment to survive,” said Jasper Lawler, head of research at London Capital Group. “So far that detail has not been coming through and investors have more questions than answers."
Adding to market woes, was an inversion of the short end of the U.S. yield curve which foreshadowed the end of the Federal Reserve’s tightening campaign and raised the specter of a possible U.S. recession. The curve between U.S. three-year and five-year and between two-year and five-year paper inverted on Monday - the first parts of the Treasury yield curve to invert since the financial crisis, excluding very short-dated debt; meanwhile the closely watched 2s10s just 13 basis points from inversion.

On Tuesday, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes dropped as low as 2.94%, sliding below its 200DMA for the first time since September 2017.

“The focus is now shifting to the inverted U.S. bond yield curve which has negative connotations, while implying the U.S. economy is heading towards what was only a few weeks ago an improbable economic slowdown,” said Stephen Innes, head of trading for APAC at Oanda. “Now, even recessionary fear is starting to raise its ugly head.”
German/U.S. yields moved in tandem, with curves bull flatten as the focus on curve inversion gains momentum. Long-dated Gilt yields drop 3bps, dragging peers lower, short dates underpinned by steady demand at the 2024 auction, although attention remains squarely on Brexit developments.
As yields dropped and the curve inverted, the USD weakened against all G-10 currencies, weakening 0.8% against the Japanese yen and fell more than 0.5% to its weakest level since September against the offshore Chinese yuan to 6.83 yuan, with the Bloomberg dollar index sliding back under 1,200...

... while the cable rallied back above 1.2800 after the European Court of Justice offers a non-binding opinion on the possibility of an Art. 50 reversal. This was a bounce back from two-month lows it hit in early trade against the dollar on concern about British parliamentary approval for a proposed Brexit deal. The pound last stood 0.7 percent firmer at $1.2814 while weakening 0.2 percent against the euro to 89.10 pence. The South African rand strengthened after a surprise GDP beat, putting in the best performance in EMFX. WTI crude pushes higher through $54, but knocked off best levels after Saudi Energy Min tempers hopes for an OPEC+ production cut
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was scheduled to testify on Wednesday to a congressional Joint Economic Committee, but the hearing was postponed because of a national day of mourning for U.S. President George H.W. Bush, who died on Friday.
Elsewhere oil continued to find support, and extended gains, adding to Monday’s 4 percent surge as investors bet a key OPEC meeting on Thursday could deliver supply cuts in the wake of moves by producers to address a supply glut that contributed to a 15% tumble in West Texas Intermediate prices last month. U.S. crude and Brent crude added 1.6 percent to $53.82 and $62.7 per barrel respectively. Later in the session oil pared some gains after Saudi Oil Minister Khalid Al-Falih said it’s too early to say whether OPEC and its partners will cut production.
Gold hit a session high of USD 1238.83, reaching its highest value since the end of October, as the dollar continues to weaken on a decline in US yields following the positive G20 trade outcomes. Steel futures have hit a 7-month low as prices are pressured by the oversupplied market, this comes after the positive sentiment seen in base metals on Monday from US-China trade developments. Separately, palladium (+1.0%) hit a record high of USD 1221.95 earlier in the session.
On today's economic calendar, no major economic data are expected. AutoZone and Dollar General are among companies reporting earnings.
Market Snapshot
Top Overnight News from Bloomberg
Asian stocks traded mostly negative as the relief rally fizzled out in the region with investors quick to book their recent profits. ASX 200 (-1.0%) and Nikkei 225 (-2.4%) were lower from the open in which a pullback in consumer and energy stocks led the downside in Australia and with Japanese sentiment dampened by a firmer currency. An indecisive tone was seen in the Hang Seng (-0.5%) and Shanghai Comp. (-0.2%) amid a lack of fresh drivers and as participants await the next developments of the US-China trade saga with China reportedly considering possibilities of lowering US auto tariffs. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin was said to be hopeful for an agreement but warned tariffs will be implemented if a deal fails to materialize, while China reportedly censored a post by the US Embassy regarding the recent trade developments and tariff ceasefire which some have suggested could be a possible effort to avoid looking weak or that it gave in to US pressure. Finally, 10yr JGBs traded higher amid the risk averse tone and as they tracked the overnight gains in T-notes. This coincided with the US 10yr Treasury yield dropping below its 200DMA for the first time in around a year, while the US 2y10yr spread continued to narrow to its flattest in over a decade. Today also saw a 10yr auction from Japan, although there was a muted reaction as the auction bore mixed results.
Top Asian News - Foreigners Cut China Bond Holdings First Time Since Feb. 2017 - Sri Lanka Court Restrains Rajapaksa Acting as Prime Minister - China Announces New Punishments for Intellectual Property Theft - Rich Asians Are Crazy to Live in Shanghai, Luxury Index Shows
European equities have kicked the session off with modest losses (Eurostoxx 50 -0.5%) as markets take a breather from yesterday’s “trade truce” inspired gains. The CAC 40 (-0.6%) is showing some marginal underpeformance relative to its peers in what has been a difficult start to the week for French equities amid domestic protests over the weekend, albeit tensions might show some signs of abating following reports that the French PM is to halt the proposed fuel tax hike. Elsewhere, sectors are relatively mixed thus far with mild outperformance seen in energy names (in-fitting with price action in the complex). Consumer discretionary stocks are a clear underperformer with Volkswagen (-2.2%), Porsche (-2.0%) and BMW (-1.9%) all lower after German car registrations fell 10% Y/Y. Postal names are softer in Europe following a disappointing update from BPost (-20.4%) which has sent their shares to the foot of the Stoxx 600, dragging Post NL (-5.3%) and Deutsche Post (-1.7%) lower in sympathy. In terms of individual movers and shakers have predominantly been the result of broker moves with Rightmove (+1.8%), JC Decaux (-3.3%), BAE Systems (-4.9%) and Continental (-4.0%) all gaining traction as a result of rating action.
Top European News
In FX, DXY – On the backfoot again with the index retreating further from 97.000 to trip stops at 96.400 and register a fresh post-G20 low of 96.372. This against the backdrop of broad Dollar losses vs. its major counterpart and a sharp retreat in US Treasury yields with the long-end of the curve outperforming. EUR – Also benefitting from the Greenback’s misfortunes and hopes that Italy vs. EU fiscal friction may be resolved amidst latest reports that PM Conte will deliver another revised 2019 budget draft with deficit circa 2.0%. EUUSD back above 1.1400 (with 1.234bln option expiries between 1.1400-05) but just stopped short of a key Fib at 1.1424. JPY, GBP – Major G10 outperformers with cable briefly breaching yesterday’s high of 1.2825 (vs. intraday lows of 1.2720), absorbing offers around 1.2800-1.2820 on the way to a peak of 1.2839. The Pound may have derived support from another UK PMI beat (construction) having already gained impetus after the ECJ’s senior advisor stated that the UK can revoke Article 50 unilaterally (under certain conditions). The single currency vs. the pound holding just above 0.8900 vs. lows of 0.8890 with stops reported at 0.8950 (though some distance away). To the downside, 0.8861 is reported to be a support level. Elsewhere, the JPY is taking advantage of the ongoing buck decline and a marked downturn in risk sentiment after initial US-China truce euphoria, with USD/JPY taking out the Tenken line at 113.34, a Fib level at 113.17 and the 55DMA at 113.05 to hit a low of 112.75 (ahead of the psychological 112.50 and the 100-DMA at 112.25). EM –Turkish Lira remains pressured by the ongoing recovery in oil prices (large net importer). USD/TRY trading around 5.30 with concerns that the Central Bank may prematurely loosen policy (aided by the slowdown in CPI) also weighing on investors’ minds. However, the ZAR is the clear EM outperformer amid the latest SA GDP figures showing the country has recovered out of recession, while a rally gold (major producer) is also providing the Rand with impetus. Finally, CNY undergoes another day of strengthening in a continuation from the G20 momentum. USD/CNY trading comfortably below 6.8500 after the PBoC set the strongest Yuan fix since June last year.
In commodities, Brent (+2.2%) and WTI (+2.2%) have continued to rise on expectations for a cut at the upcoming OPEC+ meeting, with any cut likely to take into account the reduction to Canadian output which is also supporting oil prices. Prices came off highs after Saudi Energy Minister Al-Falih stated that it is premature to suggest that OPEC+ will reduce output at the meeting this week, in turn hinting division amongst OPEC members. Initial source reports suggest that OPEC+ are working towards a minimum output cut of 1.3mln BPD from the October levels. However, Russia’s position of a maximum output cut of 150k BPD is the main obstacle to this, as OPEC want a minimum cut of 250-350k BPD. With sources suggest that OPEC may delay cuts if Russia does not agree to a substantial output cut. Looking ahead we have API data later in the day, with expectations being that crude stocks fell by 2.25mln/bbl for the week; if expectations prove accurate this will be the first crude oil draw since mid-September. Additionally, the weekly EIA release has been pushed back to Thursday at 16:00 GMT, due to the national day of mourning for Former President George H.W. Bush. Gold hit a session high of USD 1238.83, reaching its highest value since the end of October, as the dollar continues to weaken on a decline in US yields following the positive G20 trade outcomes. Steel futures have hit a 7-month low as prices are pressured by the oversupplied market, this comes after the positive sentiment seen in base metals on Monday from US-China trade developments. Separately, palladium (+1.0%) hit a record high of USD 1221.95 earlier in the session.
Looking at the day ahead, it’s not the most exciting for data releases with the October budget balance for France and October PPI report for the Euro Area the only prints of note. There’s nothing of note in the US however we are due to hear from the Fed’s Williams this afternoon when he holds a press briefing at the NY Fed. BoE Governor Carney is also due to attend a hearing of the Treasury Committee on the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement.
US Event Calendar
DB's Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap
Also in credit we’ve just published our two monthly chartbooks. The PowerPoint based one on global credit trends including issuance, flows, performance and relval ( link ) and also the excel based US credit strategy one with everything you wanted to know about US credit in a spreadsheet including up to date fundamentals ( link ). Elsewhere in today’s PDF link we’ve updated our PMI vs equities analysis. It shows equities as ‘cheap’ at the moment to current activity levels. Click on the full link for this report at the top for more with the commentary below.
Bourses yesterday closed well off their early highs with the follow through from the trade ceasefire a little disappointing. This reversal has continued in Asia to a large degree with the Nikkei (-1.72%), Hang Seng (-0.52%) and Kospi (-0.95%) all lower alongside most markets while the Shanghai Comp (+0.04%) is flattish. 10yr USTs yields are 11bps lower than their peak yesterday at 2.939% (-3bps this morning) with the curve flattening further (see below). S&P 500 futures are down -0.58% as we type.
Notwithstanding these disappointments, the reality is that yesterday US stocks did continue on what was a strong rebound from last week. Indeed after taking into account the +1.09% jump yesterday the S&P 500 is now up +5.99% over the last six sessions which is the strongest such run since February 2016 and second strongest since 2011. Tech led the way yesterday with the NASDAQ rallying +1.51% and the NYSE FANG index returning +2.80%. This was after the STOXX 600 finished +1.03% in Europe and the DAX +1.85% - albeit with both also closing off the early session highs. It was a similarly strong day for credit with Euro and US high yield cash spreads tightening -6.5bps and -11.7bps respectively – the latter by the most in a month.
Despite the lack of follow through, there were some outsized winners. President Trump’s tweet about China agreeing to “reduce and remove tariffs on cars coming into China from the US” helped the S&P 500 autos sector to close +2.14% with Euro autos also surging +3.04%. In addition to that, we had the +4.30% jump for WTI oil (an extra +1% in Asia this morning) on the OPEC +/ Alberta production cuts stories we discussed yesterday. Markets are also digesting Qatar’s decision to exit OPEC from January 2019. Qatar has been a member since 1961 and while it’s not a huge volume contributor, the suggestion was that the country’s role as a diplomat had been significant. So a bit more uncertainty in the oil market. A reminder that the much anticipated OPEC meeting arrives Thursday/Friday.
Treasuries also reversed the post G-20 sell-off, which saw a +6.0bp climb this time yesterday result in a flat close. Two-year USTs did rise +3.5bps though leading to the 2s10s curve flattening to only 15bps (down to 13.5bps in Asia with 10yr another -3bps) and to the lowest in the current cycle. There was also some talk of 5 year notes inverting through both 3- and 2-year notes for the first time in this cycle as well. So the curve is getting very flat, especially at this point. As a reminder 2s10s has inverted ahead of all the last 9 recessions. The good news is we haven’t inverted yet and that the average time between the two is 16 months, with the quickest being 9 months. So we have some breathing space if history is your guide. The bad news is that we’re getting closer and closer and a circuit break to this flattening would be helpful to risk and the economy over the medium-term.
Several factors have combined to support the flattening move. The big rally in oil supported near-term inflation breakevens, with 2-year breakeven up +4.7bps and driving the entire move in nominal 2-year yields. Ten-year inflation breakevens were flat, explaining the flattening yield curve. WTI oil prices and 2-year breakevens have a high positive correlation of around 0.75. After both peaked on October 3, the former is down -30.5% and the latter has fallen by -57.0bps. At the long end, a steady flow of real money into Treasuries weighed on yields, possibly just due to rebalancing on the first day of the month after equities outperformed versus fixed income in November.
To a lesser extent, markets continued to focus on communications from Fed officials, though comments yesterday from Fed Board Members Clarida, Quarles, and Brainard broadly met expectations and confirmed the sentiment from Powell’s speech last week (note that Powell’s Wednesday congressional testimony has been cancelled and not yet rescheduled due to the President Bush’s funeral). They reiterated the recent emphasis on data dependency and described the economy as at or near full employment and inflation as at target.
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, a known dove who will be a voting member of the FOMC in 2019, departed somewhat from this assessment, saying that the economy “cannot be at maximum employment” if it continues to “create 200,000 jobs a month, month after month.”
In the US, the final manufacturing PMI was revised down 0.1pts to 55.3 however the more important ISM manufacturing printed at 59.3 (vs. 57.5 expected) and jumped 1.6pts from October. That’s still below the 61.3 high made back in August but was clearly reassuring in the face of some more mixed data of late. New orders (62.1 vs. 57.4 previously) and employment (58.4 vs. 56.8 previously) also lept higher, however the softer inflation story was maintained with prices paid falling over 10pts to 60.7 (vs. 70.0 expected). Some suggested that seasonals may have slightly distorted the decline. Another small negative was the fairly benign new export orders reading (52.2) which failed to climb from October.
Making less of a mark yesterday were the final global November manufacturing PMIs in Europe. Indeed the final Eurozone reading was revised up from the flash reading of 51.5 to 51.8 but was still the lowest since August 2016. That upward revision was helped by modest 0.2pts and 0.1pt upward revisions to Germany (to 51.8) and France (to 50.8), however these readings are also the lowest in 31 months and 26 months, respectively. Italy fell further below 50 to 48.6 and is now at a 47-month low, however, there was better news for Spain (52.6 and 3-month high) and Ireland (55.4 and 2-month high). Greece is even back to a 6-month high at 54.0, which means the 2.2pt differential over Germany is the highest based on data back to 2014. Meanwhile, there was a notable upward surprise in the UK (53.1 vs. 51.7 expected), a jump of 2pts from October and seemingly supported by domestic contracts picking up. In contrast, exports dropped for the second straight month with the report noting external weakness.
Outside of Europe, China catches the eye with the Shanghai Comp actually 27% ‘cheap’ compared to the implied PMI. Interestingly only the S&P 500 is pricing in an implied PMI above 50 with Europe in the 45-48 range and China 46.9. We try not to over-analyse these results, preferring to use them to look at more general levels of global undeover valuations. However, they do support our view that markets have probably got a bit too negative of late.
Over in Italy, two- and 10-year yields fell -17.4bps and -6.8bps yesterday as headlines suggested policymakers were receptive to less confrontational budget deficit targets. Prime Minister Conte is reportedly aiming to convince Salvini and Di Maio to shift the budget deficit from 2.4% to below 2.0%. The latest economic data (yesterday’s included), which has shown a marked slowdown in growth momentum amid the higher BTP yields, may be incentivising policymakers to back away from their more confrontational stance. However these were all headlines. There’s no firm evidence as yet that the deficit target will be markedly lower but the momentum seems to be moving in that direction. However last night Ansa reported Italian Premier Conte as saying that he is not trying to cut the budget deficit to below 2%.
Last night in the UK, Parliamentary Speaker Bercow granted an emergency debate to determine whether or not Prime Minister May is in contempt of Parliament over her refusal to release the government’s full legal advice about the proposed Withdrawal Agreement. The debate will take place when Parliament convenes this morning, and it currently looks likely that May will lose a vote, since lawmakers from both sides of the aisle have expressed their interest to see the information.
As for the day ahead, it’s not the most exciting for data releases with the October budget balance for France and October PPI report for the Euro Area the only prints of note. There’s nothing of note in the US however we are due to hear from the Fed’s Williams this afternoon when he holds a press briefing at the NY Fed. BoE Governor Carney is also due to attend a hearing of the Treasury Committee on the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement.
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[Table] IAmA: IAm Sheila Norman-Culp, leader of the AP “Dirty Game” investigation into match-fixing in soccer. AMA

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Date: 2013-02-20
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Questions Answers
Did you see that ludicrous display last night? I assume u are talking re Arsenal. yes, yes yes. Not as gut-slamming bad as Saturday's disaster against Blackburn, but no fun for sure.
What was the most surprising facet of the story that you discovered? I was shocked at the Amazonian river of money that sports betting generates... the Interpol chief Ron Noble says several billion euros a year, an ex-FIFA official has said up to $500 billion a year. BILLION...! if you are a criminal mastermind, all you have to do is use some fixed games to deliver a tiny sliver of that and you will be wealthier than you ever imagined. That's about the yearly GNP of Switzerland, no slouch economy.
This is the crazy thing to me, how many people are betting on what are ultimately not high level events. I would like to think that high levels of betting on one side of a small matchup could be observed and regulated. Until lately, no one thought to look for match-fixing in the soccer wilderness. but extremely low level games in Finland, Norway and Canada that were fixed proved that theory wrong. for fixers, best thing is virgin territory not already claimed by other fixers...
Which mobs were most involved? Turkish? Russian? Romanian? Prolly the shorter list would be what mobs DON'T want to get involved with match-fixing... AP talked to Turkish commentators who said fixing allegations have cropped up every year for at least 40 years, and even Turkish prosecutors in court documents noted that mobs had infiltrated Turkish soccer since at least 1980... As for Russia, one illegal Asian betting den that an AP reporter visited wouldn't even touch bets for Russia's 2nd division (or Greece's for that matter). Even illegal sites know when to run! Italy's match-fixing has produced over $2.6 billion for the Camorra and the Mafia. And since the vast majority of sports betting money originates in Asia, Asian crime gangs are said to be intimately involved in fixing games.
Where in Asia is the money coming from? It's coming both from billions of small bettors (betting is a way of life i many Asian countries) and from Asian crime gangs who are recycling dirty money to launder it.
How is the research going on the dinamo zagreb - olimpique game, where olimpique scored just enough goals to kick Ajax out of the champions league? Ah yes, where a zagreb player winked on a YouTube clip. plenty of suspicions, Ajax started howling immediately, no good evidence ever emerged. was about the same time in which Croatian first league (where dinamo played) was riddled with match-fixing (see our story about Croatia Seveste player Mario Cizmek) but dinamo never implicated in those trials.
To borrow from Grantland's Brian Phillips, "How #*%!ed is the beautiful game?" It's more &&#$ than top officials want to publicly admit. There are large areas of the world where football has been not only infiltrated by criminals but is being run by criminals. Last year in China, two ex-chiefs of its FA (football association for American fans) got 10 1/2 years in prison for corruption. In 2011, the national TV channel in China REFUSED to broadcast matches from the Chinese League due to widespread match-fixing. I can't imagine the reax here in London if Sky or the BBC refused to broadcast Premier League games...
What is the highest level that you believe some form of match fixing has taken place? European competition? WC qualifying? Where is match fixing most prevalent? Well, our FIFA correspondent Graham Dunbar says that depends if you include the 1982 World Cup West Germany-Austria game, which appeared to be a deal with the teams. FIFA changed its rules after that so games at the end of rounds start simultaneously. More recently you have the 2010 WC qualifier between Liechtenstein and Finland ... and Latam types will always debate whether the WC 1978 Argentina 6, peru 0 was fixed, sent host Argentina into final...
So...Juventus. As a fan, I just have to know. How involved are they in match fixing? They're always surrounding by rumors of it. Hmmm. where to start? well, going way back, juventus reputedly bough the ref in the 193 European Cup semifinal, according to one of our top football guys... and they were pretty front and center in Italy's 2006 match-fixing scandal, where they were regulated to Serie B (2nd division), got 9 points deducted, got hit by a massive fine, got stripped of their 2006-07 league titles, got tossed out of the Champions League for a year. Their club president at the time was fined and banned from the sport for five years. Their current coach, Antonio Conte, just got back in December from a 4-month FIFA ban for a separate match-fixing allegation. As Premier Mario Monti said, maybe Italian football should just shut down for a few years to get rid of that corruption thing...
I have to ask. Have you or anyone in your agency been approached or threatened as a result of your investigations? Gotta give kudos here to Chris Brummett, our Vietnam bureau chief, who visited a Wild West betting boomtown on the border of Cambodia. Going around illegal Asian betting dens, talking with bettors about fixed matches, looking for hints of Asian triad involvement. Not a place that you could take TV cameras or where bettors would let u take a picture, that's for sure. And when I was filming a TV segment at a Zagreb stadium with a player convicted of match-fixing, all of a sudden we saw that a photog with a long lens was zooming in on us. The guy came over to see what we were doing, I made sure not to speak a word of English and our photographer Darko talked to him. After that, Darko said "it's time to go." When a photog who just got back from Syria says its time to go, u go.
Do you think that this type of match fixing also extends into American sports such as Major League Baseball or the National Football League? I think of a game like the Super Bowl with all the money bet on it and I can't help but wonder if games are often fixed or the outcome affected artificially. Super Bowl betting is big in the US but is tiny in relation to global soccer betting. And the Super Bowl has one big thing that keeps it from being fixed -- very high player salaries. Players in countries like Croatia are match-fixing sometimes for as little as 2500 euros ($3300). Major league baseball salaries and NFL salaries are too high -- and you need to involve too many players to ensure a rock-solid fix. In soccer, the goalie alone has enough influence to fix a game by himself.
Where do the criminal gangs get the action on? Betfair? For a blow-by-blow account of how it all goes down, check out these links: Player who rues getting involved in match-fixing: Link to apne.ws Unwritten rules of match-fixing: Link to apne.ws
How exactly does it work? The players just play terribly when instructed? The criminals have money on the over? In terms of the betting, there's about five-six levels of betting in Asia, which leads from local illegal betting shops that deal in cash to next level, regional betting houses, still in cash, to next level, super betting sites, to online betting sites that take credit cards and are openly operating. Asian betting sites don't know their customers, so its easier to disguise large wagers as many small ones. European betting sites know their customers via credit cards, but criminals can use fake credit cards. anyone who knows about a fixed game can bet on whichever betting site offers the odds
Where are most of these criminal organizations based? What country? Are international matches ever fixed(England vs San Marino or something) or just club matches? Actually 'friendlies' between two nations are a prime target for fixers, because football associations can hire agencies (some of which later turn out to be fronts for fixers) to arrange the games and give a cut of the proceeds (or even bribes) to corrupt FA officials Just imagine, in a friendly you can get world-class talent for free and they can generate gobs of TV revenues. some suspect friendlies in recent times: Nigeria-Argentina 2011, one or more South Africa friendlies right before the World Cup, Bolivia-Latvia 2011, Bulgaria-Estonia 2011, several Latam games involving Venezuela and Bolivia. These are all men's games, so far no whiff of suspicion among women's friendlies.
Is there any suspicion of fixing in women's soccer in the past Olympics? It has bothered a lot of people the way the gold medal game finished. It didn't make any sense at all. Edit: I did mean semi final. My bad. No, so far no reports of match-fixing in any women's games. in fact, some of the bettors AP interviewed in the illegal Cambodian den were at the time betting on live women's U-20 game between New Zealand and Japan just because they felt it was not fixed.
Has there been any instances when you had suspicion BEFORE a match? What do you think about the recent EUROPOL expose about the 380 european matches? What does only 1 english match (liverpool v debrecen)(albeit english team not involved) say about how things are done in uk v thing elsewhere.what is it that they are doing right/others doing wrong? Me and another AP reporter have visited a betting monitoring site that runs 31,000 games thru computer models to see if they may be fixed. Companies like that can often see if games are suspicious up to two days before a match _ ie they know if XXX amount bet on a Italian league game is normal or way off. They also keep tabs on 110,000 players, teams, refs and officials and give them match-fixing credit scores... they have seen where a suspicious player changes teams and infects a previously untouched team with his knowlege of fixing... Only one match in England reflects high premier league salaries that protect the players and the game. But bet monitors do have one person on their top 20 'to watch' match-fixing suspicions list that lives in the UK.
What is the best part about your job? The sheer variety. I mean there are some things we can plan for _ we know when the 2012 London Olympics will start _ but you never know each day what will happen. Will an Icelandic volcano erupt and blow the travel plans of 10 million people to bits? Or maybe a meteor will hit Russia? i am constantly amazed.
How has the series been received by soccefootball officials? It seems to expose some dirty laundry and gotten news and TV pickups across the globe. Yes, we were very happy with the wide range of media that picked up the stories _ everything from papers in Thailand to ESPN and Sports Illustrated to non-sports outlets like Huffpost and Salon.com.
Which team do you support and who is your favorite player? Well, i live and work now in north London, so i would be crucified if I didnt keep up with Arsenal (condolences will be accepted here today). Favorite player, hmm. got two. Fernando Torres because i was living in Zurich during Euro 2008 (he was electric then) and he looks just like my hubby did years ago with his freckles; Robin van Persie now because the man just dances on the field, a joy to watch.
Fernando Torres is my favorite too, and believe me he will be electric again! and another question, what is the most memorable match you have ever watched live at a stadium? At a family level, I brought my ten-year-old daughter and her soccer team to see the American women play at Giants stadium in NJ when the US hosted the Women's World Cup in 1999... Mia Hamm and her buddies really inspired a generation.
Do you see any problem/conflict with betting companies (such as Bwin) being significant sponsors of the game? Betting companies are always going to advertise next to matches, its the smart operating model for their business. but it is interesting how they can be in severe denial about match-fixing. I went to a London betting conference in Nov, and a top representative from Ladbrokes insisted to me that 'maybe 5-6' games were fixed a year. he claimed that some betting monitoring companies have an incentive to say there are hundreds of possibly fixed games a year just so they would get contracts from FIFA, UEFA, national leagues. On the other hand, his own industry has a HUGE interest in not talking about fixed games -- who is going to bet if they think things are fixed? he did me a big favor though - AP reporters could not get into the monitoring sites until we reported his ludicrous comment to them.
How does it start? Does someone from the criminal organization approach a player in a shady alley? Do players that fix games do so repeatedly? Do multiple players on a team need to be bought to pull off the fix? And finally, how do the criminal organizations actually make money off fixed games? Presumably by placing the bets they've arranged, but don't the people taking their bets get suspicious? What i'm going to do is give u some link to our stories that explain all this. ironically, match-fixers often groom players just like pedophiles groom targets, according to a major 2012 study on sports corruption. Players can be seduced into fixing by other coaches or players or agents. Or they can be ordered to fix by their corrupt soccer club bosses. Or they can have no idea a game is fixed because the refs were bought off instead. so many ways to match-fix...!
How in the world would FIFA (or possibly another organization) go about fixing this or at least starting to fix it? Is the problem already too deep that anything other than a complete scrub of all teams and parties involved would fail? And could the sport even survive something like that or would it be best for the game if everyone just operated like business as usual? FIFA's latest anti-match-fixing project is to educate players and refs about the problem. A noble idea, for sure, one that no one can find fault with. but it's kinda like warning your kids not to play with matches when your kitchen is already on fire and that may burn down your whole house. Time to get out the big firehose. Let's not forget how doping has driven sponsors and TV revenues away from cycling or even track. And soccer authorities also have another problem -- their own officials may be the ones driving the fixing. A major sports corruption report last year even gave that a label "chairman-to-chairman" fixing. in turkey last year, 93 people went on trial for match-fixing, and only 14 were players. I think the best model to emulate is germany's, its FA has a omsbudman where players, refs, anyone can call to report fixing worries anonymously.
Is it anyway connected to the fixed cricket games and why is this not getting as much coverage considering soccer is a much larger sport? And do you think the Ireland v France world cup 2010 qualifier was fixed, where Thiery Henry blatantly hand-balled to knock Ireland out of the competition? That was one darn obvious handball but absolutely no suggestion of fixing in that. as we say in our Dirty Game series, referees and players can perform poorly for all sorts of legitimate reasons. Gotta say, American fans could never stomach bad ref calls like that, that's why they love NFL instant replay. the concept that such a bad call could knock a team out... it's why the NFL had to end its referee lockout...
It's amazing how deep seeded the corruption is in the sport. Do you know how much money was made globally from the match fixing (an estimate)?? FIFA has estimated between $5 billion and $15 billion a year. not chump change.
I think it's more spot-fixing than match-fixing, right? Or at least the higher up the leagues go, the more it deviates towards spot rather than match. If you got any knowlege of this, let FIFA/UEFA/the national leagues know. AP took a deep dive into fixing in Croatia's first division, (let me tell u google translator is a mess with croatian court transcripts) and found both match and spot fixing in the same games. one sports expert, David Forrest of University of Salford, says that's a great way for gangs to increase revenues, you get to place two-three-four bets on the same fixed game.
Do you think that the punishment for participants should be more severe the further up the ladder the investigation goes? That is, should the first-year first-teamer found to have been involved be given less of a penalty than the national team star? Or should a message be sent with uniform penalties for even the least involvement? Hmm. it's kinda like doping in that you need zero tolerance. That said, its clear that match-fixers target players like lions on the savannah, picking off the young (easy to manipulate) the old (nearing the end of their employment, fearing what's next) and the weak (those with betting problems or financial difficulties. Young players lured into fixing by older players should get lesser sentences if it's found that they were forced or pressured into it. Older players (or refs hitting age limits) should get harsher penalties because they absolutely knew what they were doing. national stars who fix bring shame upon an entire nation but the fixing penalities should be the same no matter what the league.
Do you feel like, historically, there has been more corruption in Italian leagues, or is it more a matter of the Italian investigations being more frequent and successful in revealing the corruption and making cases stick? There's no question that Italy has had repeated, major match-fixing instances at least since 2005. And each case seems to bring new amazing allegations. My all time favorite is the goalie who wanted to fix a game, so he drugs the water bottles of his teammates to play poorly. they stink, lose the game, and one even crashes his car afterward. Since Italy takes drunk driving quite seriously, the driver gets a blood test which shows he is full of sedatives, and the whole fixing operation is unveiled. can't make this up. I give plenty of kudos to Italian prosecutor Roberto Di Martino but the country has had plenty of corruption issues in all walks of life ... , so i dont think we can just credit good prosecutors for us hearing about italian match-fixing
At what point do you as an organisation decide that you will look into that matter. How did this all start - or better yet, what event triggered this investigation? We noticed that AP was doing about a dozen match-fixing spot stories around the world a month... but it was country by country. This trial, that arrest, this investigation. It was time to look at the whole of the sport, something that fits an international news agency better than a local or national paper. I had been interested in match-fixing since i covered FIFA for AP in 2007-2008 and did a story when they first set up their EWS monitoring site. got promoted to London, distracted by volcanos and a wonderful London Olympics, but began interviewing people last june.
Glad to oblige blatter? justkidding. What i should have said yesterday -- this AMA is about match-fixing, not Blatter. Blatter is such a vast topic that he needs a whole 'nuther forum. Maybe ask him to come on himself.
How do you stop match fixing? Whoever figures that out gets a nobel peace prize.
Do you have any knowledge of match fixing in Latin America? Specifically Libertadores Cup and Brazilian and Argentinian national leagues? Bolivia and Venezuela have had several suspicious friendlies, Guatemala had 3 players banned in recent months for fixing.
What do you have to say about one of the most outrageous things that happened in the last decade: Lyon 7-1 Zagreb leaving Ajax out of CL? Everyone seems to have forgotten about that thing and no one ever really talked or investigate that game further. That is certainly the one game that Europeans came away thinking must be fixed. it would be a great subject for a magzine piece. maybe when everyone in that game has retired, more might come out.
Which league do you believe to be the most corrupt? Even if it isn't one you've investigated. Impossible to say. too many candidates.
My dad used to bet on soccer matches with his buddies frequently, and pointed out how he would know if a match is fixed or not depending on the players' reactions during a penalty kick. Apparently, whenever a player looks backwards before taking a penalty, he is always looking for a signal as to whether or not he is allowed to make the goal. Is there any merit to this conspiracy theory that my dad and his friends developed? Wild theory, too bad it's prolly not true -- they must have been drinking pretty heavily! If a game is fixed by players, they know beforehand and they know exactly what marks they need to hit: X-X score at halftime, X-X final result, X goal differential. No need to look over their shoulder, they already know if they should make it or not. If the game is fixed by club officials, they have already told their players what to do. If the game is fixed by referees, often players don't even know. They might think it's a ridiculous penalty call but they are not going to hurt their stats, they are going to try to make the penalty.
Who's going to win the European Cup? Going to leave all game analysis to commentators and Match of the Day boys. I'm just all about corruption.
Are there times when two different groups try to fix a match with conflicting goals? This was a significant problem in Asia, and its a terrible business model when two crime gangs are trying to fix the same game. That propeled at least Asian gangs to seek out more European games, which were considered several years ago to be much cleaner. One monitor told me about a match in which his company's spotters at the game saw thugs from two different crime gangs shouting with the ref at halftime. Only one side won. (think the ref in that case had a death wish or was just blinded by greed)
What is the most common betting market on fixed games? A straight win? or something like over 2.5 goals? Or even corners or number of cards? Do you bet on any games? I don't bet on sports, not after seeing all this...! The most common bets on fixed games are four things: final score, half-time score, total number of scores and score differential. who is taking the corner doesnt bring in enough money...
Where does the actual money the gangs win come from? Is straight from the betting agencies pockets? David Forrest, the UK economist who specializes in sports betting, tells us that fixed sports betting is a fabulous way to launder money. You take cash from drug or trafficking operations, you bet on fixed games, not only do u make a profit but dirty money comes back clean. He says some crime gangs are trying to buy soccer clubs just to launder money through them.
Was the Qatar bid for hosting the 2022 world cup involved in bribery of any kind? Sri, this AMA is on match-fixing. The FIFA decision to give the 2018 and 2022 World Cups to Russia and Qatar respectively is a whole separate (and vast) discussion.
Did your investigation have any overlap with Declan Hill's investigations in the past? Declan is a pioneer, kudos to him. Suggest everyone interested in this topic read his book "The Fix: Organized Crime and Soccer"
a comment: Kudos to you and your team for really doing some real investigative journalism. Too much TMZ-style or reactive news these days so it's refreshing to see some real shit. Second my question: I saw the amount of profit gained from this scheme was a seemingly paltry $11m. In 2012, $94m was bet on the Super Bowl alone. Is the $11m as truly insignificant as it appears? What percentage of the pie is legitimate vs illegitimate? You maybe are just looking at one Italian match-fixing investigation. Multiply that by investigations in 50 nations last year, add to it all the bribe money that is linked to organizing friendlies that can generate big TV revenue... the point about match-fixing is not illegal or legal betting. It is tainting all betting with a fix. European betting agencies pride themselves on their legality, but anyone can be undermined by a fix. In asia, illegal gambling dens thrive because gambling in an ingrained cultural habit that is going to occur even if govts ban it.
Does this only happen with football? are there stories of match fixing happening in the European basketball, volleyball, handball, water polo leagues? All sports can be vulnerable to match-fixing, especially if there is betting on them. add tennis, cricket, horse racing to that mix.
I don't really understand soccer but how and what makes a game suspicious? Huge amounts of late bets on an obscure game. In-game live betting in which lots of bettors put money on another goal and the referee orders a penalty for an unfathomable reason. Games in which all scoring is due to penalty kicks. Games in which scoring is so high that it looks more like baseball. Games in which many goals are disqualified for offsides. so many options i just cant list them all
Does anyone know if Domenico Cricito is still being investigated or if they've finished with him? Cricito, an Italian defender who plays for the St. Petersburg club Zenit, was cleared, not charged with any match-fixing. He has said that he's trying not to be angry but still is about how he was dropped from the Italian team playing in Euro 2012 due to allegations that turned out to be unproven.
How are investigations going in regard to serie a? i know the mafias in Italy have a lot of control over players and referees. Big break on Thursday (feb 21, day after this AMA). a top suspected fixer was arrested by Italian police, Admir Sulijic. he reportedly has links to singapore money man Dan Tan. --- Big break on Friday, Dan Tan being interviewed by Singapore police!!!
Is there a chance Chelsea has been involved with match fixing please say no? I'm such a cynic that I can't say 'No' about any team. To paraphrase Donald Rumsfeld, that's a 'known unknown' -- we know there are some things we do not know. that applies to all teams, not just Chelsea.
Have there been any murders or serious crimes committed in the name of covering up max fixing? In Bulgaria, over a dozen soccer officials have been slain over the last decade. and the crime gangs there don't even pretend to make it look like an accident, they just gun people down in the street.
Due to the nature of your work, do you ever feel in danger? Our medical writer tells us that sitting at a computer for hours on end is the most deadly thing for reporters. if she's right, we are all doomed.
Which top leagues would you say are the least corrupt? Certainly the premier league, due to the players' huge salaries.
Why do FIFA or UEFA never step in to take action on the obviously corrupt English FA, more specifically, Referee's decisions going heavily in the way of a certain Alex Ferguson? There is plenty of evidence, but you just leave them to get away with it. Why? Gotta say, FIFA and UEFA are clearly not fans of the English FA and are certainly not favoring them in any way re refereeing decisions.
I like how this question is dodged. Glad to oblige.
Please tell me the Celtic v Barcelona game wasn't fixed! I have to be sure... Hey even amazing teams lose sometimes! Plus this doesnt match the typical M.O. of the most successful match-fixers. When great teams lose, it always raises more suspicions among bet monitoring companies than when bad teams lose (our reporters visited some secret betting monitoring sites). A convicted midfielder who talked to us about match-fixing says it's always better to simply have bad teams lose once again -- criminals just pre-determine HOW MUCH that team will lose by and play those odds.
Whoever figures that out gets a nobel peace prize. Sri don't mean to be flippant. You go for zero tolerance, you establish anti-match-fixing officials in every national league, you teach players and refs and soccer officials how to recognize approaches by fixers, you increase criminal penalities for fixing, you don't stop investigating serious allegations just because a referee has retired 'from the football family,' (FIFA) you protect whistleblowers better. Italian defender Simone Farina told police about being approached by a fellow player to fix, and that effectively ended his playing career and made him a pariah in italy...happily months and months later Aston Villa made him a 'community coach'
No question, but thanks for doing what you do. This kind of high quality investigative journalism is what the free press is all about. Very kind to hear. are we related? jk. hope you got a chance to read, watch or hear all the eight Dirty Game stories, three sidebars, online video, broadcast video, radio reports, etc.
What's amazing is how ESPN hasn't said a word about this yet. Because they'd rather show more Tim Tebow praying coverage, or Mark Sanchez picking his asshole coverage, or LeBron James changing shampoo types coverage, or Erin Andrews trimming her fingernails coverage. ESPN online did pick up the AP Dirty Game story... and they did a video piece after Europol cited 680 suspicious games. but on that video piece they got an Italian soccer commentator who thought this was being overblown...
Could you please investigate the NBA now pls. Hmm. I saw an NBA rep at the London conference on sports betting. the major difference, obviously, is the huge number of scores in basketball and low number of scores in soccer. 1-0 wins a soccer game, but you need what, 35-50 scores to win an NBA game? So many more scoring variables in the NBA and such high salaries. I would think college ball (no salaries) would be much much more vulnerable to spread fixing.
I am Sheila Norman-Culp, AP’s Assistant Editor for Europe, who led the AP's “Dirty Game” multiformat team that investigated match-fixing in football. FTFY. Ahh, you say football, i say tomato. Let's call a truce. Otherwise Americans in this chat will start talking about Alabama
Last updated: 2013-02-25 02:10 UTC
This post was generated by a robot! Send all complaints to epsy.
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The Merkel's Chancellorship results. 12 years of prosperity or fear?

You can have it both ways, as many of historical striking examples show. In this way Yugoslavian industrial production increased substantially during Josip Broz Tito's dictatorship. And the Chinese Economic Miracle was a consequence of Mao Zedong's rule.
Odd enough, that citizens of the most powerful European state have been constantly living in fear and under pressure. This is where once beloved by the majority of her fellow citizens "Mutti" led Germany. The first thing that could be associated with twelve years of her chancellorship is 'a sacrifice'.
http://i.imgur.com/m971n24.jpg
Merkel was called "the Chancellor of Changes" at the very beginning of her career as a leader of the German Government. Everyone placed high expectations to her policy of "small steps". Her predecessor Gerhard Schröder paid more attention to strengthening of the foreign political and external-economic relations of Germany, than its economics and domestic social troubles. The net result was lack of economic growth compared with Denmark, the Netherlands and Great Britain. Also, the number of Germans decreased by 2.8 million, while the population of immigrant origin increase of 3.5 million by 2006.
Thus Mrs. Chancellor received a country facing its rather hard times, lacking of permanent jobs with social guarantees and suffering from a growing migrant stranglehold. That is why she had won popularity at once placing the bet on the protection of the Christian values, including such traditional institutions as the family, the compulsory integration of foreigners to German society, the economic unity of federal states and the balanced foreign policy course, as well as the promise to resolve the crisis in EU.
Since the first 100 days of Merkel's governmental activity, the enthusiasm of maintaining the perspective on dual partnership with Russia together with moving closer to Washington, high-flown words about establishing nurseries and "parents' money", replacement of temporary employment contracts with two-year probationary period and other "first signs of the German rise" died down, however. And Germans shortly remembered an old English proverb "no news is good news", for they started to fear those changes "Mutti" was bringing about.
It turned out that Merkel just continues the policy of the economic recovery that Schröder started at the end of his chancellorship. It was in cuts of unemployment pays and loosening of control at the labor-market to stimulate creation of low-paid and part-time jobs. Meanwhile, trade unions were forced to freeze fees because of a flow of underpaid workers from Eastern Europe. This measure really gave all-time minimum unemployment rate by year 2011 and boosted the "Kanzlerin's" rate, in spite of critics of the Schröder for his arguable Hartz IV, which has been acting after several insignificant amendments up till now.
http://i.imgur.com/QKgCaOp.jpg
The global financial crisis 2008 became, obviously, the general nightmare of the German economics. At that time social and economic budget items were sacrificed for throwing 500 bn euros to save German banks. Once again, Mrs. Chancellor devoted attention to macroeconomic performance while neglecting the decline of common living standards in the country and problems of the poor that went with that. Thus in 2008, Germany was shaken with a number of young child deaths in the endangered and low-income families caused by hunger and neglect among other reasons. According to the Children Aid Organization, in spite of the stirred up scandal and feverish measures to protect children undertaken right after those incidents, more than a million kids and teenagers are living in poverty in German. Also there is no obligatory well-child care in some German States.
http://i.imgur.com/UdrPmu1.jpg
Overall, it appears that the German people's welfare is the last thing Merkel is worried about. Unlike citizens of 'less prosperous' Czech Republic, Hungary, or Italy, most Germans don't have their own real property. Meanwhile, the rental has been doubled during the last ten years. The retirement age has been steadily increasing, for the State "cannot afford such financial burden as this number of pensions." Instead, the allocation of considerable financial resources as aid for the EU debtor countries suddenly (!) occurred to be possible. For instance, in May, 2010, Merkel's Cabinet gave 22.4 bn euros to save Greek economy almost immediately after the Chancellor stated she had no intention of doing it. However the next year she sharply criticized the indebted countries demanding them to work harder, to decrease the number of vacation days and to increase the retirement age to the German level. Greece, Spain and Portugal had already started implementing painful social and economic changes earlier imposed by Germany. That is why Merkel's words gave great offence. Southern Europeans considered that she encouraged Germans thinking that their country had been feeding the rest of the European Union at their expense. "The feeling here is that Merkel is sacrificing Europe to the altar of domestic politics," said Richard Young, the former director of the European think tank FRIDE in Madrid. At the same time, The Guardian had been speculating, if "Germany might have to sacrifice Greece to save euro".
This very Merkel's rhetoric sowed discord between the EU members and inside Germany, boosting further rise of Euroskepticism and the new EU crisis. The chancellor, indeed, destroyed her own efforts to strengthen process of European unification and to adopt unitary European Constitution. Euroskeptic parties have established their position in nearly all the EU countries after such allegations. Scotland and Catalonia tried to gain independence via referendum. Some of European countries blackmailed the rest of the EU threatening with exit, as Greece attempted to do in 2015. Some of the states have been refraining from withdrawal from the European Union just fearing of the disastrous economic consequences. That is why the Great Britain has become the first one. Brexit has dealt a crippling blow to the European integrity setting a key precedent. Following this there is more and more talk about Italexit, Nexit, Frexit, Finexit, or Oexit possibility.
http://i.imgur.com/f8jiWHC.jpg
One thing is certain: the European countries no longer consider the EU to be an integral and indivisible formation; they don't trust each other and see no perspective in unification. You may thank Mrs. Chancellor for continuous pointing at the inequality of rights and opportunities of the various EU members and reminding about their dependence from Germany, which has put this much into the Union reaching beyond its citizens' interests. Such statements actually tarnish the Merkel's image. Some have begun suspecting her and the country under her leadership of imperial ambitions. Germany has been increasingly seen not as a first among equals, but as a dictator imposing his game rules and telling the further development paths to other countries.
The "Kanzlerin" exacerbated this impression by becoming one of the Minsk agreements' guarantees. From the very beginning it was clear that the implementation of the agreements is impossible until the parties of conflict would wish to resolve their differences in a peaceful manner. Besides, out of three guarantees, Russia has been the only one to have any idea of what's going on in Donbas. But, here too, Merkel much desired to show her credibility and skill of resolving the worst possible situations. Judging from the further actions of Germany and France, they both see the role of guarantee as an expression of mourning condemnation of each violation of the Minsk agreements; also in worsening of artificial economic war vs. the third guarantee as punishment for the non-implementation of these agreements, however. From then on, all mass media started talking about another sacrifice. This time German big business became a lamb to slaughter. It was forced to cut short the relations that had been established for decades, so that it suffered billion-worth losses. After that all European countries, tired of enforced anti-Russian sanctions, started to support the lifting of them as sliding towards economic collapse.
http://i.imgur.com/brHRLpa.jpg
Yet, Merkel didn't heed the voice of the majority, as well. She was more interested in the opinion of such powerful and influential political and trade ally as the USA. Merkel even let go the diplomatic scandal 2013 with the NSA been eavesdropping on her phone, for prospects for such cooperation. She began to push an idea of the so-called Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) instead. Keeping her manner of ignoring people, in her view, lacking power or money, Merkel turned a blind eye both to multi-thousand protesting crowds and experts' opinion warning on this partnership threaten to EU standards in such key areas as health care, labor market, social protection, and environment. The German Chancellor started talking about impossibility of the cooperation just after the Donald Trump's electoral victory became evident.
The EU refugee crisis has become the third significant nail in the coffin of Merkel's political reputation. She seemingly has forgotten her declaration in 2010 about the "death" of German multiculturalism. After her famous "Wir schaffen das" Germans and all other EU citizens realized that nationalists and the poor forced to tolerate unwanted and unsafe neighborhood expressed fair concerns about the migrant crisis earlier. The first crisis occurred to be a nuisance as compared with the recent calamity, initiated by Merkel. This disaster is able to wipe out all Europeans and their cultural property. Refugees are everywhere now.
The catastrophe became so obvious that the "Kanzlerin" drastically changed her mind. A year after she admitted her mistake but utterly failed to fix it. The "Pandora's box" got opened. This is not only Germany who suffers from the crushing burden of financial and social obligations to ensure supply and integration of more than a million asylum seekers.Refugees also suffer while striving to get to the new "promised land" by all means. All European countries suffer, for Merkel imposed them her rules of the game again, so that they've been bound by obligations to host the forced migrants.
http://i.imgur.com/atj8R9A.jpg http://i.imgur.com/xKE7IkC.jpg
As a result, the leader of German government has found herself at a disadvantage shortly before the start of the election campaign, which her further political career depends on. Her previous chancellorship cannot be explicitly assessed in a positive or negative light only. In fact, Angela Merkel have been playing a difficult chess match for all 12 years, sacrificing well-being of German "pawns" for biasedly interpreted national and pan-European sake. The paradox here is that the majority of German people had been admiring even her most unpopular political steps and had been raising her personal rating for a long time. However, Germans seem to get tired living in fear of the next changes and get used to sacrifice. They sacrifice their financial health for getting banks out of crisis. They sacrifice business interests for the higher aims at foreign policy level. They sacrifice their stability and comfort for the "preservation of humanity."
The future election will show whether the force of habit is enough to continue putting up with the foreign-policy failures, the influx of aggressive Middle Easterners and systematic neglect of needs of common Germans.
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7am Sat 9 Jun 2012 - /r/worldnews

  1. A mob of hundreds of men assaulted women who were taking part in a march in Cairo's Tahrir Square to end sexual harassment in Egypt. cbc.ca comments worldnews
  2. North Korea ships malware-infected games to South Korean users, uses them to launch DDoS attacks zdnet.com comments worldnews
  3. An 11-year-old boy will appear in court in Bahrain on Monday to face charges of illegally protesting. dailystar.com.lb comments worldnews
  4. Former Pentagon Analyst: China can shut down all the telecom gear it sold to US businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  5. Parents who force their children to marry will face jail under new UK laws to be introduced bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  6. Japan PM says two reactors must restart for survival of society | Reuters uk.reuters.com comments worldnews
  7. The US Will Re-Open Massive Philippine Bases Not Occupied Since The Cold War businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  8. Greek extremist mob rampages through streets of Athens in broad daylight, attacking refugees, migrants, homeless, and a foreign journalist. Unclear whether the mob was of the far right or far left. jpost.com comments worldnews
  9. Apple to pay $2 million for misleading Aussies over 4G iPad arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  10. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says Channel 4 correspondent. Alex Thomson says crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  11. Hundreds of anti-ACTA demonstrations are planned for tomorrow across Europe, the US, Japan, and Canada acta.ffii.org comments worldnews
  12. A British journalist claims Syrian rebels set him up to die in no man's land near the Lebanese border, saying Friday he believes they wanted to use his death at the hands of government forces to score propaganda points. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  13. Tens of thousands of gallons of oil spilled from pipeline into Red Deer River in Alberta. montrealgazette.com comments worldnews
  14. Alberta residents angry after oil spills nearby lake cbc.ca comments worldnews
  15. Quebec sues big tobacco for $60 billion globalpost.com comments worldnews
  16. New immigration law would force UK citizens with non-EU partners to choose between exile or breakup. guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  17. Robert Mugabe's motorcade runs over homeless man guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  18. North Korea faces worst drought in 50 years; South says aid unlikely cnn.com comments worldnews
  19. The last interview with Ray Bradbury bbc.com comments worldnews
  20. Big Content wants to bring SOPA-style policies to Canada arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  21. Moody’s threatens to downgrade Germany,France, and others if Greece leaves Euro rawstory.com comments worldnews
  22. Mexican network alleged to have sold favourable election coverage to top politicians guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  23. Putin signs new anti-rally bill rt.com comments worldnews
  24. Tobacco giant Philip Morris infiltrated Swiss university thelocal.ch comments worldnews
  25. Canadian Government Repeals Hate Speech Clause huffingtonpost.ca comments worldnews
  26. Facebook ordered to unmask online 'trolls' | News.com.au news.com.au comments worldnews
  27. UFO Sightings Across Middle East Were Probably A Missile rferl.org comments worldnews
  28. Mexicans Want New Approach To Bloody Drug War npr.org comments worldnews
  29. Neutrino researchers admit Einstein was right guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  30. Ireland’s ‘brain drain’ uses up their quota of US, Canadian and Australian visas irishcentral.com comments worldnews
  31. Ivory Coast ambush: Seven UN peacekeepers killed bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  32. Greece is not in a recession. It is in a Depression. foreignpolicy.com comments worldnews
  33. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says British Journalist: crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  34. Mob attacks march against sexual harassment in Egypt; attackers grope women hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  35. That was no accident! news.yahoo.com comments worldnews
  36. Putin has cracked down on the opposition since returning to the presidency, and he seems to be betting that by threatening demonstrators with prison time and harsh fines he can quash the street protests. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  37. Blood, Flesh, Gore at Site of Suspected Massacre in Syria npr.org comments worldnews
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5am Sat 9 Jun 2012 - /r/worldnews

  1. A mob of hundreds of men assaulted women who were taking part in a march in Cairo's Tahrir Square to end sexual harassment in Egypt. cbc.ca comments worldnews
  2. Forgetful fan leaves three Euro 2012 tickets in Dublin Airport. Find Oliver Coughlan! bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  3. An 11-year-old boy will appear in court in Bahrain on Monday to face charges of illegally protesting. dailystar.com.lb comments worldnews
  4. North Korea ships malware-infected games to South Korean users, uses them to launch DDoS attacks zdnet.com comments worldnews
  5. Former Pentagon Analyst: China can shut down all the telecom gear it sold to US businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  6. Parents who force their children to marry will face jail under new UK laws to be introduced bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  7. Japan PM says two reactors must restart for survival of society | Reuters uk.reuters.com comments worldnews
  8. The US Will Re-Open Massive Philippine Bases Not Occupied Since The Cold War businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  9. Greek extremist mob rampages through streets of Athens in broad daylight, attacking refugees, migrants, homeless, and a foreign journalist. Unclear whether the mob was of the far right or far left. jpost.com comments worldnews
  10. Apple to pay $2 million for misleading Aussies over 4G iPad arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  11. Hundreds of anti-ACTA demonstrations are planned for tomorrow across Europe, the US, Japan, and Canada acta.ffii.org comments worldnews
  12. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says Channel 4 correspondent. Alex Thomson says crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  13. A British journalist claims Syrian rebels set him up to die in no man's land near the Lebanese border, saying Friday he believes they wanted to use his death at the hands of government forces to score propaganda points. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  14. Robert Mugabe's motorcade runs over homeless man guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  15. Quebec sues big tobacco for $60 billion globalpost.com comments worldnews
  16. Alberta residents angry after oil spills nearby lake cbc.ca comments worldnews
  17. North Korea faces worst drought in 50 years; South says aid unlikely cnn.com comments worldnews
  18. New immigration law would force UK citizens with non-EU partners to choose between exile or breakup. guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  19. Big Content wants to bring SOPA-style policies to Canada arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  20. The last interview with Ray Bradbury bbc.com comments worldnews
  21. Putin signs new anti-rally bill rt.com comments worldnews
  22. Mexican network alleged to have sold favourable election coverage to top politicians guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  23. Canadian Government Repeals Hate Speech Clause huffingtonpost.ca comments worldnews
  24. Tobacco giant Philip Morris infiltrated Swiss university thelocal.ch comments worldnews
  25. UFO Sightings Across Middle East Were Probably A Missile rferl.org comments worldnews
  26. Neutrino researchers admit Einstein was right guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  27. Mexicans Want New Approach To Bloody Drug War npr.org comments worldnews
  28. Tens of thousands of gallons of oil spilled from pipeline into Red Deer River in Alberta. montrealgazette.com comments worldnews
  29. Moody’s threatens to downgrade Germany,France, and others if Greece leaves Euro rawstory.com comments worldnews
  30. Greece is not in a recession. It is in a Depression. foreignpolicy.com comments worldnews
  31. Ivory Coast ambush: Seven UN peacekeepers killed bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  32. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says British Journalist: crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  33. Putin has cracked down on the opposition since returning to the presidency, and he seems to be betting that by threatening demonstrators with prison time and harsh fines he can quash the street protests. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  34. Blood, Flesh, Gore at Site of Suspected Massacre in Syria npr.org comments worldnews
  35. BBC News - Lloyds TSB pays compensation after loaning dementia patient £18,000 bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  36. Bloodied heads of young seals found nailed to entrance of sanctuary irishexaminer.com comments worldnews
  37. Moscow bans gay pride for century ahead: City court ruled lawful to ban public events that can be qualified as gay parades from March 2012 till May 2112 rt.com comments worldnews
submitted by frontbot to frontworldnews [link] [comments]

4am Sat 9 Jun 2012 - /r/worldnews

  1. Forgetful fan leaves three Euro 2012 tickets in Dublin Airport. Find Oliver Coughlan! bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  2. A mob of hundreds of men assaulted women who were taking part in a march in Cairo's Tahrir Square to end sexual harassment in Egypt. cbc.ca comments worldnews
  3. An 11-year-old boy will appear in court in Bahrain on Monday to face charges of illegally protesting. dailystar.com.lb comments worldnews
  4. North Korea ships malware-infected games to South Korean users, uses them to launch DDoS attacks zdnet.com comments worldnews
  5. Former Pentagon Analyst: China can shut down all the telecom gear it sold to US businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  6. Parents who force their children to marry will face jail under new UK laws to be introduced bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  7. Japan PM says two reactors must restart for survival of society | Reuters uk.reuters.com comments worldnews
  8. The US Will Re-Open Massive Philippine Bases Not Occupied Since The Cold War businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  9. Apple to pay $2 million for misleading Aussies over 4G iPad arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  10. Greek extremist mob rampages through streets of Athens in broad daylight, attacking refugees, migrants, homeless, and a foreign journalist. Unclear whether the mob was of the far right or far left. jpost.com comments worldnews
  11. Hundreds of anti-ACTA demonstrations are planned for tomorrow across Europe, the US, Japan, and Canada acta.ffii.org comments worldnews
  12. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says Channel 4 correspondent. Alex Thomson says crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  13. Robert Mugabe's motorcade runs over homeless man guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  14. North Korea faces worst drought in 50 years; South says aid unlikely cnn.com comments worldnews
  15. A British journalist claims Syrian rebels set him up to die in no man's land near the Lebanese border, saying Friday he believes they wanted to use his death at the hands of government forces to score propaganda points. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  16. Quebec sues big tobacco for $60 billion globalpost.com comments worldnews
  17. New immigration law would force UK citizens with non-EU partners to choose between exile or breakup. guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  18. Big Content wants to bring SOPA-style policies to Canada arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  19. Putin signs new anti-rally bill rt.com comments worldnews
  20. Canadian Government Repeals Hate Speech Clause huffingtonpost.ca comments worldnews
  21. UFO Sightings Across Middle East Were Probably A Missile rferl.org comments worldnews
  22. Mexican network alleged to have sold favourable election coverage to top politicians guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  23. Alberta residents angry after oil spills nearby lake cbc.ca comments worldnews
  24. Tobacco giant Philip Morris infiltrated Swiss university thelocal.ch comments worldnews
  25. Neutrino researchers admit Einstein was right guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  26. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says British Journalist: crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  27. Mexicans Want New Approach To Bloody Drug War npr.org comments worldnews
  28. The last interview with Ray Bradbury bbc.com comments worldnews
  29. Greece is not in a recession. It is in a Depression. foreignpolicy.com comments worldnews
  30. Blood, Flesh, Gore at Site of Suspected Massacre in Syria npr.org comments worldnews
  31. Moody’s threatens to downgrade Germany,France, and others if Greece leaves Euro rawstory.com comments worldnews
  32. Ivory Coast ambush: Seven UN peacekeepers killed bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  33. Moscow bans gay pride for century ahead: City court ruled lawful to ban public events that can be qualified as gay parades from March 2012 till May 2112 rt.com comments worldnews
  34. Putin has cracked down on the opposition since returning to the presidency, and he seems to be betting that by threatening demonstrators with prison time and harsh fines he can quash the street protests. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  35. Bloodied heads of young seals found nailed to entrance of sanctuary irishexaminer.com comments worldnews
  36. In a matter of days, the number of expected foreign visitors to Tibet has gone from millions to zero, as China Forbids International Tourism to Tibet Indefinitely. abcnews.go.com comments worldnews
  37. Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper silences Canadian scientists littleredumbrella.com comments worldnews
submitted by frontbot to frontworldnews [link] [comments]

6am Sat 9 Jun 2012 - /r/worldnews

  1. A mob of hundreds of men assaulted women who were taking part in a march in Cairo's Tahrir Square to end sexual harassment in Egypt. cbc.ca comments worldnews
  2. An 11-year-old boy will appear in court in Bahrain on Monday to face charges of illegally protesting. dailystar.com.lb comments worldnews
  3. North Korea ships malware-infected games to South Korean users, uses them to launch DDoS attacks zdnet.com comments worldnews
  4. Former Pentagon Analyst: China can shut down all the telecom gear it sold to US businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  5. Parents who force their children to marry will face jail under new UK laws to be introduced bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  6. Japan PM says two reactors must restart for survival of society | Reuters uk.reuters.com comments worldnews
  7. The US Will Re-Open Massive Philippine Bases Not Occupied Since The Cold War businessinsider.com comments worldnews
  8. Greek extremist mob rampages through streets of Athens in broad daylight, attacking refugees, migrants, homeless, and a foreign journalist. Unclear whether the mob was of the far right or far left. jpost.com comments worldnews
  9. Apple to pay $2 million for misleading Aussies over 4G iPad arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  10. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says Channel 4 correspondent. Alex Thomson says crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  11. Hundreds of anti-ACTA demonstrations are planned for tomorrow across Europe, the US, Japan, and Canada acta.ffii.org comments worldnews
  12. A British journalist claims Syrian rebels set him up to die in no man's land near the Lebanese border, saying Friday he believes they wanted to use his death at the hands of government forces to score propaganda points. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  13. Alberta residents angry after oil spills nearby lake cbc.ca comments worldnews
  14. Tens of thousands of gallons of oil spilled from pipeline into Red Deer River in Alberta. montrealgazette.com comments worldnews
  15. Quebec sues big tobacco for $60 billion globalpost.com comments worldnews
  16. Robert Mugabe's motorcade runs over homeless man guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  17. New immigration law would force UK citizens with non-EU partners to choose between exile or breakup. guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  18. North Korea faces worst drought in 50 years; South says aid unlikely cnn.com comments worldnews
  19. Big Content wants to bring SOPA-style policies to Canada arstechnica.com comments worldnews
  20. The last interview with Ray Bradbury bbc.com comments worldnews
  21. Mexican network alleged to have sold favourable election coverage to top politicians guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  22. Putin signs new anti-rally bill rt.com comments worldnews
  23. Tobacco giant Philip Morris infiltrated Swiss university thelocal.ch comments worldnews
  24. Canadian Government Repeals Hate Speech Clause huffingtonpost.ca comments worldnews
  25. UFO Sightings Across Middle East Were Probably A Missile rferl.org comments worldnews
  26. Neutrino researchers admit Einstein was right guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  27. Moody’s threatens to downgrade Germany,France, and others if Greece leaves Euro rawstory.com comments worldnews
  28. Mexicans Want New Approach To Bloody Drug War npr.org comments worldnews
  29. Ireland’s ‘brain drain’ uses up their quota of US, Canadian and Australian visas irishcentral.com comments worldnews
  30. Greece is not in a recession. It is in a Depression. foreignpolicy.com comments worldnews
  31. Mob attacks march against sexual harassment in Egypt; attackers grope women hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  32. That was no accident! news.yahoo.com comments worldnews
  33. Ivory Coast ambush: Seven UN peacekeepers killed bbc.co.uk comments worldnews
  34. Syrian rebels tried to get me killed, says British Journalist: crew was led to 'free-fire zone' as deaths would discredit Bashar al-Assad's regime guardian.co.uk comments worldnews
  35. Putin has cracked down on the opposition since returning to the presidency, and he seems to be betting that by threatening demonstrators with prison time and harsh fines he can quash the street protests. hosted.ap.org comments worldnews
  36. Blood, Flesh, Gore at Site of Suspected Massacre in Syria npr.org comments worldnews
  37. Moscow bans gay pride for century ahead: City court ruled lawful to ban public events that can be qualified as gay parades from March 2012 till May 2112 rt.com comments worldnews
submitted by frontbot to frontworldnews [link] [comments]

1. Euro 2004 – Netherlands 2-3 Czech Republic . A brilliant group game, featuring an excellent Czech side that deserved more than a semi-final exit at the hands of the eventual winner, Greece, and a Dutch team of ridiculous talent. Robben, Davids, Seedorf and Van Nistelrooy started the game, with the Dutch quickly grabbing a 2-0 lead. Germany U17 Greece U17 live score (and video online live stream*) starts on 29 Oct 2012 at 13:30 UTC time in U17 European Women's Championship Qualif. - Gr. 7 - Europe. Here on SofaScore livescore you can find all Germany U17 vs Greece U17 previous results sorted by their H2H matches. The quarterfinal matches look like this: Germany vs. Greece Czech Republic vs. Portugal Spain vs. France England vs. Italy. It’s going to be the same as usual, jump on the heavy favorites. About the match. Germany Greece live score (and video online live stream*) starts on 22 Jun 2012 at 18:45 UTC time in Euro Cup - Europe. Here on SofaScore livescore you can find all Germany vs Greece previous results sorted by their H2H matches. Links to Germany vs. Greece video highlights are collected in the Media tab for the most popular matches as soon as video appear on video hosting Get a summary of the Germany vs. Greece football match. 92' Greece exit the Euros with their heads held high. Their defence may have capsized in the second half but even reaching the last eight

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